力学・化学・放射過程など諸過程の統合モデリングに基づく地球環境システムとしての気候変動の解明と予測を行います。
気候モデリング・解析研究室
研究スタッフ
渡辺 泰士
WATANABE Yasuto
研究員
研究プロジェクト
研究成果
発表論文
日本の中層大気研究の現状と展望
河谷芳雄・佐藤薫・堀之内武・江口菜穂・木下武也・高麗正史・小林ちあき・坂崎貴俊・原田やよい・藤原正智・渡辺真吾・秋吉英治・稲飯洋一・奥井晴香・黒田友二・小新大・小玉知央・小寺邦彦・菅原敏・田口正和・直江寛明・中村哲・野口俊祐・廣岡俊彦・町田敏暢・宮崎和幸・三好勉信・向川均・安井良輔・山下陽介・吉田康平・余田成男
天気, (2025)
Recent Lower Stratospheric Ozone Trends in CCMI-2022 models: Role of Natural Variability and Transport
Benito-Barca, S., Abalos, M., Calvo, N., Garny, H., Birner, T., Abraham, L. N., Akiyoshi, H., Dennison, H., Jöckel, P., Josse, B., Keeble, J., Kinnison, D., Marchand, M., Morgenstern, O., Plummer, D., Rozanov, E., Strode, S., Sukhodolov, T., Watanabe, S., & Yamashita, Y.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130, 9, (2025)
Development of a predictive scoring system for vitamin D deficiency 'Vitamin D Deficiency Predicting Scoring (ViDDPreS)' based on the vitamin D status in young Japanese women: a nationwide cross-sectional study
Kuwabara, A., Nakatani, E., Nakajima, H., Sasaki, S., Kohno, K., Uenishi, K., Takenaka, M., Takahashi, K., Maeta, A., Sera, N., Kaimoto, K., Iwamoto, M., Kawate, H., Yoshida, M., Tanaka, K., & Tsugawa, N.
Public Health Nutrition, 27, 1 (2024)
Emergent constraints on future changes in several climate variables and extreme indices from global to regional scales
Shiogama, H., Hayashi, M., Hirota, N., & Ogura, T.
SOLA , 20, 122-129 (2024)
What Are the Main Causes of Positive Subtropical Low Cloud Feedbacks in Climate Models?
Webb, M. J., Lock, A. P., & Ogura, T.
J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 16, e2023MS003716 (2023)
Important distinctiveness of SSP3–7.0 for use in impact assessments
Shiogama, H., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Hayashi, M., Hirabayashi, Y., Ogura, T., Iizumi, T., Takahashi, K., & Takemura, T.,
Nature Climate Change, 13, 1276–1278 (2023)
MIROC6 Large Ensemble (MIROC6-LE): experimental design and initial analyses
Shiogama, H., Tatebe, H., Hayashi, M., Abe, M., Arai, M., Koyama, H., Imada, Y., Kosaka, Y., Ogura, T., & Watanabe, M.
Earth System Dynamics, 14, 6, 1107–1124 (2023)
Positive Low Cloud Feedback Primarily Caused by Increasing Longwave Radiation From the Sea Surface in Two Versions of a Climate Model
Ogura, T., Webb, M. J., & Lock, A. P.
Geophysical Research Letters, 50, 20 e2023GL104786 (2023)
The Role of Sea-surface conditions in Southern-Hemisphere Polar Vortex Strength and Associated Wave Forcing Revealed by a Multi-member Ensemble Simulation with the Chemistry–Climate Model
Yamashita, Y., Akiyoshi, H., & Inoue, M.
SOLA, 19B, 9–15 (2023)
Weakening of springtime Arctic ozone depletion with climate change
Friedel, M., Chiodo, G., Sukhodolov, T., Keeble, J., Peter, T., Seeber, S., Stenke, A., Akiyoshi, H., Rozanov, E., Plummer, D., Jöckel, P., Zeng, G., Morgenstern, O., & Josse, B.
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 17, 10235–10254 (2023)
Stratospheric water vapor affecting atmospheric circulation
Charlesworth, E., Plöger, F., Birner, T., Baikhadzhaev, R., Abalos, M., Abraham, N. L., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Dennison, F., Jöckel, P., Keeble, J., Kinnison, D., Morgenstern, O., Plummer, D., Rozanov, E., Strode, S., Zeng, G., Egorova, T., & Riese, M.
Nature Communications, 14:3925 (2023)
Theoretical Foundation of the Linear Relationship between the Midlatitude Eddy Heat Flux and Fall-to-Spring Polar Ozone Buildup
Hasebe, F., Kodera, S., & Akiyoshi, H.
Journal of the Atmospheric Science, 80:3, 889–908 (2023)
Dependence of column ozone on future ODSs and GHGs in the variability of 500-ensemble members
Akiyoshi, H., Kadowaki, M., Yamashita, Y., & Nagatomo, T.
Scientific Reports, 13: 320 (2023)
Estimation of the vitamin D (VD) status of pregnant Japanese women based on food intake and VD synthesis by solar UV-B radiation using a questionnaire and UV-B observations
Nakajima, H., Sakamoto, Y., Honda, Y., Sasaki, T., Igeta, Y., Ogishima, D., Matsuoka, S., Kim, S.-G., Ishijima, M., & Miyagawa, K.
Journal of Steroid Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, 229, 106272 (2023)
成層圏・中間圏の大気化学の諸問題
江口菜穂，山下陽介，秋吉英治，酒井哲，長濱智生，冨川喜弘，中島英彰，杉田考史，坂崎貴俊，斉藤拓也，水野亮
大気化学研究, 48, 048A01 (2023)
The Contribution of Climate Change to Increasing Extreme Ocean Warming around Japan
Hayashi, M., Shiogama, H., & Ogura, T.
Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL100785 (2022)
Low-Level Marine Tropical Clouds in Six CMIP6 Models Are Too Few, Too Bright but Also Too Compact and Too Homogeneous
Konsta, D., Dufresne, J.-L., Chepfer, H., Vial, J., Koshiro, T., Kawai, H., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Roehrig, R., Watanabe, M., & Ogura, T.
Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2021GL097593 (2022)
Impacts of precipitation modeling on cloud feedback in MIROC6
Hirota, N., Michibata, T., Shiogama, H., Ogura, T., & Suzuki, K.
Geophysical Research Letters, 49, 5 (2022)
Emergent constraints on future precipitation changes
Shiogama, H., Watanabe, M., Kim, H., & Hirota, N.
Nature, 602, 612–616 (2022)
Development of a predictive model for vitamin D deficiency based on the vitamin D status in young Japanese women: A study protocol
Kuwabara, A., Nakatani, E., Tsugawa, N., Nakajima, H., Sasaki, S., Kohno, K., Uenishi, K., Takenaka, M., Takahashi, K., Maeta, A., Sera, N., Kaimoto, K., Iwamoto, M., Kawate, H., Yoshida, M., & Tanaka, K.
PLoS ONE, 17(3): e0264943 (2022)
Global Atmospheric OCS Trend Analysis From 22 NDACC Stations
Hannigan, J. W., Ortega, I., Shams, S. B., Blumenstock, T., Campbell, J. E., Conway, S., Flood, V., Garcia, O., Griffith, D., Grutter, M., Hase, F., Jeseck, P., Jones, N., Mahieu, E., Makarova, M., De Mazière, M., Morino, I., Murata, I., Nagahama, T., Nakijima, H., Notholt, J., Palm, M., Poberovskii, A., Rettinger, M., Robinson, J., Röhling, A. N., Schneider, M., Servais, C., Smale, D., Stremme, W., Strong, K., Sussmann, R., Te, Y., Vigouroux, C., & Wizenberg, T.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127, e2021JD035764 (2022)
First ground-based Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectrometer observations of HFC-23 at Rikubetsu, Japan, and Syowa Station, Antarctica
Takeda, M., Nakajima, H., Murata, I., Nagahama, T., Morino, I., Toon, G. C., Weiss, R. F., Mühle, J., Krummel, P. B., Fraser, P. J., & Wang, H. J.,
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 14, 5955–5976 (2021)
PSTEP: project for solar–terrestrial environment prediction
Kusano, K., Ichimoto, K., Ishii, M., Miyoshi, Y., Yoden, S., Akiyoshi, H., Asai, A., Ebihara, Y., Fujiwara, H., Goto, T.-N., Hanaoka, Y., Hayakawa, H., Hosokawa, K., Hotta, H., Hozumi, K., Imada, S., Iwai, K., Iyemori, T., Jin, H., Kataoka, R., Katoh, Y., Kikuchi, T., Kubo, Y., Kurita, S., Matsumoto, H., Mitani, T., Miyahara, H., Miyoshi, Y., Nagatsuma, T., Nakamizo, A., Nakamura, S., Nakata, H., Nishizuka, N., Otsuka, Y., Saito, S., Saito, S., Sakurai, T., Sato, T., Shimizu, T., Shinagawa, H., Shiokawa, K., Shiota, D., Takashima, T., Tao, C., Toriumi, S., Ueno, S., Watanabe, K., Watari, S., Yashiro, S., Yoshida, K., & Yoshikawa, A.
Earth, Planets and Space, 73:159 (2021)
Underestimated marine stratocumulus cloud feedback associated with overly active deep convection in models
Hirota, N., Ogura, T., Shiogama, H., Caldwell, P., Watanabe, M., Kamae, Y., & Suzuki, K.
Environ. Res. Lett., 16, 074015 (2021)
Model and Satellite Analysis of Transport of Asian Anthropogenic Pollution to the Arctic: Siberian and Pacific Pathways and Their Meteorological Controls
Ikeda, K., Tanimoto, H., Sugita, T., Akiyoshi, H., Clerbaux, C., & Coheur, P.-F.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD033459 (2021)
Analysis of Arctic Spring Ozone Anomaly in the Phases of QBO and 11-Year Solar Cycle for 1979-2017
Yamashita, Y., Akiyoshi, H., & Takahashi, M.
Atmosphere, 12(5), 582 (2021)
The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing
Hayashi, M., Shiogama, H., Emori, S., Ogura, T., & Hirota, N.
Geophysical Research Letters, 48(1), e2020GL090956 (2021)
Projecting ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry-climate models weighted by model performance and independence
Amos, M., Young, P. J., Hosking, J. S., Lamarque, J.-F., Abraham, N. L., Akiyoshi, H., Archibald, A. T., Bekki, S., Deushi, M., Jockel, P., Kinnison, D., Kirner, O., Kunze, M., Marchand, M., Plummer, D. A., Saint-Martin, D., Sudo, K., Tilmes, S., & Yamashita, Y.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 20, 9961-9977 (2020)
Chlorine partitioning near the polar vortex edge observed with ground-based FTIR and satellites at Syowa Station, Antarctica, in 2007 and 2011
Nakajima, H., Murata, I., Nagahama, Y., Akiyoshi, H., Saeki, K., Kinase, T., Takeda, M., Tomikawa, Y., Dupuy, E. & Jones, N. B.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 20, 1043-1074 (2020)
The effect of atmospheric nudging on the stratospheric residual circulation in chemistry-climate models
Chrysanthou, A., Maycock, A. C., Chipperfield, M. P., Dhomse, S., Garny, H., Kinnison, D., Akiyoshi, H., Deushi, M., Garcia, R. R., Jockel, P., Kirner, O., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Revell, L., Rozanov, E., Stenke, A., Tanaka, T. Y., Visioni, D. & Yamashita, Y.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 19, 11559-11586 (2019)
Responses of Clouds and Large‐Scale Circulation to Global Warming Evaluated From Multidecadal Simulations Using a Global Nonhydrostatic Model
Noda, A. T., Kodama, C., Yamada, Y., Satoh, M., Ogura, T. & Ohno, T.
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2019)
Clear-sky ultraviolet radiation modelling using output from the Chemistry Climate Model Initiative
Lamy, K., Portafaix, T., Josse, B., Brogniez, C., Godin-Beekmann, S., Bencherif, H., Revell, L., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Hegglin, M. I., Jockel, P., Kirner, O., Liley, B., Mareca, V., Morgenstern, O., Stenke, A., Zeng, G., Abraham, N. L., Archibald, A. T., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M. P., Di Genova, G., Deushi, M., Dhomse, S. S., Hu, R.-M., Kinnison, D., Kotkamp, M., McKenzie, R., Michou, M., O’Connor, F. M., Oman, L. D., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Pyle, J. A., Rozanov, E., Saint-Martin, D., Sudo, K., Tanaka, T. Y., Daniele Visioni, D. & Yoshida, K.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 19, 10087-10110 (2019)
Analysis of the Ozone Reduction Event Over the Southern Tip of South America in November 2009
Akiyoshi, H., Kadowaki, M., Nakamura, H., Sugita, T., Hirooka, T., Harada, Y. & Mizuno, A.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123, 12,523-12,542 (2018)
The Effects of Natural Variability and Climate Change on the Record Low Sunshine over Japan During August 2017
Takahashi, C., Shiogama, H., Imada, Y., Kosaka, Y., Mori, M., Arai, M., Kamae, Y. & Watanabe, M.
in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2017 from a Climate Perspective”, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2018)
Decadal shifts in wind patterns reduced continental outflow and suppressed ozone trend in the 2010s in the lower troposphere over Japan
Okamoto, S., Tanimoto, H., Hirota, N., Ikeda, K. & Akimoto, H.
J. Geophys. Res-Atmos. 123 (2018)
Tropospheric ozone in CCMI models and Gaussian process emulation to understand biases in the SOCOLv3 chemistry-climate model
Revell, L. E., Stenke, A., Tummon, F., Feinberg, A., Rozanov, E., Peter, T., Abraham, N. L., Akiyoshi, H., Archibald, A. T., Butchart, N., Deushi, M., Jockel, P., Kinnison, D., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., O’Connor, F. M., Oman, L, D., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Schofield, R., Stone, K., Tilmes, S., Visioni, D., Yamashita, Y. & Zeng, G.
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 18, 16155-16172 (2018)
Revisiting the Mystery of Recent Stratospheric Temperature Trends
Maycock, A. C., Randel, W. J., Steiner, A. K., Karpechko, A. Y., Christy, J., Saunders, R., Thompson, D. E. J., Zou, C.-Z., Chrysanthou, A., Abraham, N. L., Akiyoshi, H., Archibald, A. T., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M., Dameris, M., Deushi, M., Dhomse, S., Genova, G. D., Jockel, P., Kinnison, D. E., Kirner, O., Ladstadter, F., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., O’Connor, F., Oman, L., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Revell, L. E., Rozanov, E., Stenke, A., Visioni, D., Yamashit, Y. & Zeng, G.
Geophys. Res. Lett. 45, 9919-9933 (2018)
Global freshwater availability below normal conditions and population impactunder 1.5 and 2°C stabilization scenarios
Liu, W, Lim, W. H., Sun, F., Mitchell, D., Wang, H., Chen, D., Bethke, I., Shiogama, H. & Fischer, E.
Geophys. Res. Lett. 45 (2018)
Low clouds link equilibrium climate sensitivity to hydrological sensitivity
Watanabe, M., Kamae, Y., Shiogama, H., DeAngelis, A. M. & Suzuki, K.
Nature Climate Change (2018)
Crop production losses associated with anthropogenic climate change for 1981-2010 compared with preindustrial levels
Iizumi, T., Shiogama, H., Imada, Y., Hanasaki, N., Takikawa, H. & Nishimori, M.
International Journal of Climatology (2018)
The representation of solar cycle signals in stratospheric ozone - Part 2: Analysis of global models
Maycock, A. C., Matthes, K., Tegtmeier, S., Schmidt, H., Thieblemont, R., Hood, L., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Deushi, M., Jockel, P., Kirner, O., Kunze, M., Marchand, M., Marsh, D. R., Michou, M., Plummer, D., Revell, L. E., Rozanov, E., Stenke, A., Yamashita, Y. & Yoshida, K.
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 18, 11323-11343 (2018)
No robust evidence of future changes in major stratospheric sudden warmings: a multi-model assessment from CCMI
Ayarzaguena, B., Polvani, L. M., Langematz, U., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Butchart, N., Dameris, M., Deushi, M., Hardiman, S. C., Jockel, P., Klekociuk, A., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., O’Connor, F. M., Oman, L. D., Plummer, D. A., Revell, L., Rozanov, E., Saint-Martin, D., Scinocca, J., Stenke, A., Stone, K., Yamashita, Y., Yoshida, K. & Zeng, G.
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 18, 11277-11287 (2018)
Multi-model event attribution of the summer 2013 heat wave in Korea
Kim, Y.-H., Min, S.-K., Stone, D. A., Shiogama, H. & Wolski, P.
Weather and Climate Extremes 20, 33-4 (2018)
Impacts of half a degree additional warming on the Asian summer monsoon rainfall characteristics
Lee, D., Min, S-K., Fischer, E., Shiogama, H., Bethke, I., Lierhammer, L. & Scinocca, J. F.
Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 044033 (2018)
Robust changes in tropical rainy season length at 1.5°C and 2°C
Saeed, F., Bethke, I., Fischer, E., Legutke, S., Shiogama, H., Stone, D. & Schleussner, C.-F.
Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 064024 (2018)
Extreme heat-related mortality avoided under Paris Agreement goals
Mitchell, D., Heaviside, C., Schaller, N., Allen, M., Ebi, K. L., Fischer, E., Gasparrini, A., Harrington, L., Kharin, V., Shiogama, H., Sillmann, J., Sippel, S. & Vardoulakis, S.
Nature Climate Change (2018)
Stratospheric injection of brominated very short-lived substances: Aircraft observations in the Western Pacific and representation in global models
Wales, P. A., Salawitch, R. J., Nicely, J. M., Anderson, D. C., Canty, T. P., Baider, S., Dix, B., Koenig, T. K., Volkamer, R., Chen, D., Huey, L. G., Tanner, D. J., Cuevas, C. A., Fernandez, R. P., Kinnison, D. E., Lamarque, J.-F., Saiz-Lopez, A., Atlas, E. L., Hall, S. R., Navarro, M. A., Pan, L. L., Schauffler, S. M., Stell, M., Tilmes, S., Ullmann, K., Weinheimer, A. J., Akiyoshi, H., Chipperfield, M. P., Deushi, M., Dhomse, S. S., Feng, W., Graf, P., Hossaini, R., Jockel, P., Mancini, E., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Oman, L. D., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Revell, L. E., Rozanov, E., Saint-Martin, D., Schofield, R., Stenke, A., Stone, K., Visioni, D., Yamashita, Y. & Zeng, G.
J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 123, 5690-5719 (2018)
Tropospheric jet response to Antarctic ozone depletion: An update with Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) models
Son, S.-W., Han, B.-R., Garfinkel, C., Kim, S.-Y., Park, R., Abraham, N. L., Akiyoshi, H., Archibald, A., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M. P., Dameris, M., Deushi, M., Dhomse, S. S., Hardiman, S. C., Jockel, P., Kinnison, D., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., O’Connor, F. M., Oman, L. D., Plummer, D. A., Pozzer, A., Revell, L. E., Rozanov, E., Stenke, A., Stone, K., Tilmes, S., Yamashita, Y. & Zeng, G.
Environ. Res. Lett. 13, 054024 (2018)
Large-scale tropospheric transport in the Chemistry Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) simulations
Orbe, C., Yang, H., Waugh, D. W., Zeng, G., Morgenstern, O., Kinnison, D. E., Lamarque, J.-F., Tilmes, S., Plummer, D. A., Scinocca, J. F., Josse, B., Marecal, V., Jockel, P., Oman, L. D., Strahan, S. E., Deushi, M., Tanaka, T. Y., Yoshida, K., Akiyoshi, H., Yamashita, Y., Stenke, A., Revell, L., Sukhodolov, T., Rozanov, E., Pitari, G., Visioni, D., Stone, K. A. & Schofield, R.
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 18, 7217-7235 (2018)
Estimates of Ozone Return Dates from Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative Simulations
Dhomse, S., Kinnison, D., Chipperfield, M. P., Cionni, I., Hegglin, M., Abraham, N. L., Akiyoshi, H., Archibald, A T., Bednarz, E. M., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Butchart, N., Dameris, M., Deushi, M., Frith, S., Hardiman, S. C., Hassler, B., Horowitz, L. W., Hu, R.-M., Jockel, P., Josse, B., Kirner, O., Kremser, S., Langematz, U., Lewis, J., Marchand, M., Lin, M., Mancini, E., Marecal, V., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., O’Connor, F. M., Oman, L., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Pyle, J. A., Revell, L. E., Rozanov, E., Schofield, R., Stenke, A., Stone, K., Sudo, K., Tilmes, S., Visioni, D., Yamashita, Y. & Zeng, G.
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 18, 8409-8438 (2018)
Higher CO2 concentrations increase extreme event risk in a 1.5°C world
Baker, H., Millar, R., Karoly, D., Beyerle, U., Guillod, B., Mitchell, D., Shiogama, H., Sparrow, S., Woollings, T. & Allen, M.
Nature Climate Change (2018)
The influences of El Nino and Arctic sea-ice on the QBO disruption in February 2016
Hirota, N., Shiogama, H., Akiyoshi, H., Ogura, T., Takahashi, M., Kawatani, Y., Kimoto, M. & Mori, M.
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 1:10 (2018)
Midlatitude atmospheric circulation responses under 1.5 and 2.0°C warming and implications for regional impacts
Li, C., Michel, C., Graff, L. S., Bethke, I., Zappa, G., Bracegirdle, T. J., Fischer, E., Harvey, B. J., Iversen, T., King, M. P., Krishnan, H., Lierhammer, L., Mitchell, D., Scinocca, J., Shiogama, H., Stone, D. A. & Wettstein, J. J.
Earth System Dynamics 9, 359-382 (2018)
Roles of shallow convective moistening in the eastward propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Hirota, N., Ogura, T., Tatebe, H., Shiogama, H., Kimoto, M. & Watanabe, M.
J. Climate 31, 3033-3047 (2018)
Roles of intraseasonal disturbances and diabatic heating in the East Asian jet stream variabilities associated with the East Asian winter monsoon
Hirota, N., Ohta, M., Yamashita, Y. & Takahashi, M.
J. Climate 31, 2871-2887 (2018)
Changes in extremely hot days under stabilized 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming scenarios as simulated by the HAPPI multi-model ensemble
Wehner, M., Stone, D., Mitchell, D., Shiogama, H., Fischer, E., Graff, L. S., Kharin, V. V., Lierhammer, L., Sanderson, B. & Krishnan, H.
Earth Syst. Dynam. 9, 299-311 (2018)
Global drought and severe drought-affected populations in 1.5 and 2C°C warmer worlds
Liu, W., Sun, F., Lim, W. H., Zhang, J., Wang, H., Shiogama, H. & Zhang, Y.
Earth Syst. Dynam. 9, 267-283 (2018)
Biogeophysical Impacts of Land-Use Change on Climate Extremes in Low-Emission Scenarios: Results From HAPPI-Land
Hirsch, A. L., Guillod, B. P., Seneviratne, S. I., Beyerle, U., Boysen, L. R., Brovkin, V., Davin, E. L., Doelman, J. C., Kim, H., Mitchell, D. M., Nitta, T., Shiogama, H., Sparrow, S., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D. P. & Wilson, S.
Earth’s Future 6 (2018)
Ozone sensitivity to varying greenhouse gases and ozone-depleting substances in CCMI-1 simulations
Morgenstern, O., Stone, K. A., Schofield, R., Akiyoshi, H., Yamashita, Y., Kinnison, D. E., Garcia, R. R., Sudo, K., Plummer, D. A., Scinocca, J., Oman, L. D., Manyin, M. E., Zeng, G., Rozanov, E., Stenke, A., Revell, L. E., Pitari, G., Mancini, E., Di Genova, G., Visioni, D., Dhomse, S. S. & Chipperfield, M. P.
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 18, 1091-1114 (2018)
Comparison of ozone profiles from DIAL, MLS, and chemical transport model simulations over Rio Gallegos, Argentina, during the spring Antarctic vortex breakup, 2009
Sugita, T., Akiyoshi, H., Wolfram, E., Salvador, J., Ohyama, H. & Mizuno, A.
Atmos. Meas. Tech. 10, 4947-4964 (2017)
Resolution Dependency of Numerically Simulated Stratosphere-to-Troposphere Transport Associated with Mid-Latitude Closed Cyclones in Early Spring around Japan
Yamashita, Y., Takigawa, M., Ishijima, K., Akiyoshi, H., Kodama, C., Yashiro, H. & Satoh, M.
SOLA 13, 186-191 (2017)
Tagged tracer simulations of black carbon in the Arctic: transport, source contributions, and budget
Ikeda, K., Tanimoto, H., Sugita, T., Akiyoshi, H., Kanaya, Y., Zhu, C. & Taketani, F.
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 17, 10515-10533 (2017)
Tropical circulation and precipitation response to ozone depletion and recovery
Bronnimann, S., Jacques-Coper, M., Rozanov, E., Fischer, A. M., Morgenstern, O., Zeng, G., Akiyoshi, H. & Yamashita, Y.
Environ. Res. Lett. 12, 064011 (2017)
Attributing Causes of 2015 Record Minimum Sea-Ice Extent in the Sea of Okhotsk
Paik, S., Min, S.-K., Kim, Y.-H., Kim, B.-M., Shiogama, H. & Heo, J.
J. Climate 30, 4693-4703 (2017)
Attribution of the July-August 2013 heat event in Central and Eastern China to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions
Ma, S., Zhou, T., Stone, D. A., Angelil, O. & Shiogama, H.
Environ. Res. Lett. 12, 054020 (2017)
Review of the global models used within phase 1 of the Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative (CCMI)
Morgenstern, O, Hegglin, M. I., Rozanov, E., O’Connor, F. M., Abraham, N. L., Akiyoshi, H., Archibald, A. T., Bekki, S., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M. P., Deushi, M., Dhomse, S. S., Garcia, R. R., Hardiman, S. C., Horowitz, L. W., Jockel, P., Josse, B., Kinnison, D., Lin, M. Y., Mancini, E., Manyin, M. E., Marchand, M., Marecal, V., Michou, M., Oman, L. D., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Revell, L. E., Saint-Martin, D., Schofield, R., Stenke, A., Stone, K., Sudo, K., Tanaka, T. Y., Tilmes, S., Yamashita, Y., Yoshida, K. & Zeng, G.
Geosci. Model Dev. 10, 639-671 (2017)
The recent increase of atmospheric methane from 10 years of ground-based NDACC FTIR observations since 2005
Bader, W., Bovy, B., Conway, S., Strong, K., Smale, D., Turner, A. J., Blumenstock, T., Boone, C., Coen, M. C. Coulon, A., Garcia, O., Griffith, D. W. T., Hase, F., Hausmann, P., Jones, N., Krummel, P., Murata, I., Morino, I., Nakajima, H., O’Doherty, S., Paton-Walsh, C., Robinson, J., Sandrin, R., Schneider, M., Servais, C., Sussmann, R. & Mahieu, E.
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 17, 2255-2277 (2017)
On the scaling of climate impact indicators with global mean temperature increase: a case study of terrestrial ecosystems and water resources
Tanaka, A., Takahashi, K., Shiogama, H., Hanasaki, N., Masaki, Y., Ito, A., Noda, H., Hijioka, Y. & Emori, S.
Climatic Change 141, 775-782 (2017)
Downscaling Global Emissions and Its Implications Derived from Climate Model Experiments
Fujimori, S., Abe, M., Kinoshita, T., Hasegawa, T., Kawase, H., Kushida, K., Masui, T., Oka, K., Shiogama, H., Takahashi, K., Tatebe, H. & Yoshikawa, M.
PLOS ONE 12 (1), e0169733-e0169733 (2017)
成層圏化学モデルの進展とオゾン層の研究
Determining an effective UV radiation exposure time for vitamin D synthesis in the skin without risk to health: Simplified Estimations from UV observations
Miyauchi, M. & Nakajima, H.
Photochemistry and Photobiology 92(6) 863-869 (2016)
The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0) contribution to CMIP6
Gillett, N. P., Shiogama, H., Funke, B., Hegerl, G., Knutti, R., Matthes, K., Santer, B. D., Stone, D. & Tebaldi, C.
Geosci. Model Dev. 9, 3685-3697 (2016)
Lower-tropospheric mixing as a constraint on cloud feedback in a multiparameter multiphysics ensemble
Kamae, Y., Shiogama, H., Watanabe, M., Ogura, T., Yokohata, T. & Kimoto, M.
Journal of Climate 29, 6259-6275 (2016)
An evaluation of IASI-NH3 with ground-based Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy measurements
Dammers, E., Palm, M., Van Damme, M., Vigouroux, C., Smale, D., Conway, S., Toon, G. C., Jones, N., Nussbaumer, E., Warneke, T., Petri, C, Clarisse, L., Clerbaux, C., Hermans, C., Lutsch, E., Strong, K., Hannigan, J. W., Nakajima, H., Morino, I., Herrera, B., Stremme, W., Grutter, M., Schaap, M., Kruit, R. J. W., Notholt, J., Coheur, P.-F. & Erisman, J. W.
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 16, 10351-10368 (2016)
Attributing historical changes in probabilities of record-breaking daily temperature and precipitation extreme events
Shiogama, H., Imada, Y., Mori, M., Mizuta, R., Stone, D., Yoshida, K., Arakawa, O., Ikeda, M., Takahashi, C., Arai, M., Ishii, M., Watanabe, M. & Kimoto, M.
SOLA 12, 225-231 (2016)
Evaluation of the inter-annual variability of stratospheric chemical composition in chemistry-climate models using ground-based multi species time series
Poulain, V., Bekki, S., Marchand, M., Chipperfield, M. P., Khodri, M., Dhomse, S., Bodeker, G. E., Toumi, R., De Maziere, M., Pommereau, J.-P., Pazmino, A., Goutail, F., Plummer, D., Rozanov, E., Mancini, E., Akiyoshi, H., Lamarque, J.-F. & Austin, J.
J. Atmos. and Solar-Terrestrial Phys 145, 61-84 (2016)
Realizing the impacts of a 1.5°C warmer world
Mitchell, D., James, R., Forster, P. M., Betts, R. A., Shiogama, H. & Allen, M. R.
Nature Climate Change (2016)
Comparison of XH2O Retrieved from GOSAT Short-Wavelength Infrared Spectra with Observations from the TCCON Network
Dupuy, E., Morino, I., Deutscher, N. M., Yoshida, Y., Uchino, O., Connor, B. J., De Maziere, M., Griffith, D. W. T., Hase, F., Heikkinen, P., Hillyard, P. W., Iraci, L. T., Kawakami, S., Kivi, R., Matsunaga, T., Notholt, J., Petri, C., Podolske, J. R., Pollard, D. F., Rettinger, M., Roehl, C. M., Sherlock, V., Sussmann, R., Toon, G. C., Velazco, V. A., Warneke, T., Wennberg, P. O., Wunch, D. & Yokota, T.
Remote Sens. 8, 414 (2016)
Is the Brewer-Dobson circulation increasing, or moving upward?
Oberlander-Hayn, S., Gerber, E. P., Abalichin, J., Akiyoshi, H., Kerschbaumer, A., Kubin, A., Kunze, M., Langematz, U., Meul, S., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O. & Oman, L. D.
Geophys. Res. Lett. 43, 1772-1779 (2016)
A nudged chemistry-climate model simulation of chemical constituent distribution at northern high-latitude stratosphere observed by SMILES and MLS during the 2009/2010 stratospheric sudden warming
Akiyoshi, H., Nakamura, T., Miyasaka, T., Shiotani, M. & Suzuki, M.
J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 121, 1361-1380 (2016)
Predicting future uncertainty constraints on global warming projections
Shiogama, H., Stone, D., Emori, S., Takahashi, K., Mori, S., Maeda, A., Ishizaki, Y. & Allen, M. R.
Scientific Reports 6:18903 (2016)